The latest communique from number two guy Zawahiri is interesting. He is shown with the now standard AK-47 behind him. But wait, that's not an AK-47. That's an AK-74. With a grenade launcher. Unusual. Now you can buy an AK-47 anywhere in the world. AK-74's in a few less places. You can also buy the standard 7.62 x .39 ammo anywhere on the planet. But Russian grenades don't have that wide of a spread. There are only a few places where they are common. In Pakistan for instance they can be bought, but they are not common. There's no point having a grenade launcher unless you have lots of grenades. Granted, the picture is staged for sure. Everything is there for a reason. Which is precisely what makes the grenade launcher interesting.

If you pull out a map of the region, you notice a little 'finger' of Afghanistan which separates Pakistan and the Russian 'Stans' (Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, etc.). It extends all the way to the China border. This is the general area where everybody seems to think Osama is hanging out. But everybody is looking for him on the Pakistan side. The best place to hide would be on the other side of the finger in Tajikistan. The baddest of the badlands. Nothing there but abandoned Russian military outposts. The US military won't set foot there. Just outside Musharaff's grasp. Russian grenades are common. A grenade launcher attached to a rifle would be normal. Now if you pull up a terrain map, there aren't many defensible positions or escape routes in the area. I would put him between Khorog and Murgab, probably around Rozh. Here the principal economic activity is the movement of opium. The only military uniforms you'll see will be at the local bazaar - right behind the grenades.